It’s easy to overlook the importance of special teams in the modern NFL, but every punt, field goal, and extra point attempt will be magnified at the Super Bowl on Sunday.
There are hundreds of Super Bowl odds to consider but don’t forget about the kicking and special teams markets which offer some excellent betting value.
I break down the NFL odds and bring you my best free NFL picks to do with kicking and special teams for Super Bowl 58 on February 11.
Be sure also to check out our Chiefs vs. 49ers picks.
- 49ers Under 1.5 made field goals (-115 at bet365)
- Chiefs Over 1.5 made field goals (-115 at bet365)
- Chiefs longest punt Over 56.5 yards (-125 at DraftKings)
Picks made on 2/8Read full analysis of each pick.
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Kicking and special teams props
- 49ers
- Chiefs
- Chiefs
Prop bet #1: Feeling Moody
Teams don’t kick many field goals against the Kansas City Chiefs, with K.C. allowing the second-fewest field goals in the NFL at just 1.2 per game.
San Francisco 49ers kicker Jake Moody booted two field goals against the Lions in the NFC Championship game, but that was just the second time in his last nine games he has kicked more than a single FG in a contest.
Part of the reason for that is due to the Niners having the best red zone offense in the league. The 49ers punch it into the end zone on 68.5% of their trips inside their opponent’s 20-yard line, with that number jumping up to 88.9% over their last three games.
Moody has a promising future but he averaged just 1.2 field goals per game during the regular season and he’s a rookie, so nerves could play a role in a game of this stature. Fade Moody on his field goals made on Sunday.
Pick: 49ers Under 1.5 made field goals (-115 at bet365)
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Prop bet #2: Kicking Butt(ker)
While the 49ers have the best RZ offense in the NFL, the Chiefs are just 19th in the league with a RZ TD percentage of 52.7% — with that dipping to 46.2% in their last three games. Their issues with stalling out in the red zone are just one reason I like kicker Harrison Butker to go Over his field goal total of 1.5.
The other reason is that Butker is simply one of the best kickers in the league and should have been named to the Pro Bowl over Justin Tucker. finishing the regular season with the fifth-most field goals in the league (33) and converting them at a sizzling 94.3% clip.
In what’s expected to be a close game, expect the Chiefs to try to squeeze out points on as many drives as possible which should mean several field goal attempts for the strong-legged Butker.
Pick: Chiefs Over 1.5 made field goals (-115 at bet365)
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Prop bet #3: Run Townsend Run
It isn’t just kickers that you can bet on at the Super Bowl with plenty of books also throwing up markets for the punters. The Over/Under for the longest punt for Chiefs punter Tommy Townsend is set at 56.5 yards. Townsend has gone Under that number in his last three games, but all of those playoff outings came outdoors in less-than-ideal conditions.
Townsend had a punt Over 56.5 yards in six of his final seven games of the regular season, and with the Super Bowl taking place at Allegiant Stadium, he should be able to boom a punt or two. Keep in mind that with San Francisco’s stingy defense, the Chiefs could also be punting more than usual giving him more opportunities to hit the Over.
Pick: Chiefs longest punt Over 56.5 (-125 at DraftKings)
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Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst
With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it’s little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He’s also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted “The Chez and Ro Show” with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.
You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on “P4P Picks” on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on “Before You Bet” with Joe. In addition, he’s a regular guest on “By The Book” on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN’s “The Handle” and CBS Sports.
Rohit primarily makes his bets at bet365, which offers a wide variety of prop markets, but also has accounts at several others so he can shop around for the best prices. For Rohit, bankroll management is key. He believes you should never bet what you can’t afford to lose and maximize those few betting opportunities where books misprice a line.
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